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How a lot does conventional search outcomes overlap with AI search outcomes?

A crossover between AI and search outcomes is anticipated as AI fashions extract search engine indexes and enrich static coaching knowledge in a course of referred to as search augmented era (RAG).

However how constant is your imaginative and prescient throughout your search together with your presence in AI?

With the assistance of Xibeiijia GuanWe have been capable of examine and examine the 1.9m quote from the 1M AI overview. We analyzed the highest three most seen citations in every response.

We found it:

  • Ranked 76.10% of pages cited AI overview Prime 10
  • 9.50% of AI Overview Overviews are ranked between positions 11-100
  • 14.40% of pages quoted in AI overview Please do not SERP rank (i.e. rank under place 100)

A pie chart showing how AI Summary Citations rank in Google search results based on a survey of 1.9 million citations by AHREFS. A pie chart showing how AI Summary Citations rank in Google search results based on a survey of 1.9 million citations by AHREFS.

Merely put, there are some main crossovers between conventional search rankings and AI overview citations.

Visibility of AI Response (once we are speaking concerning the coveted prime 3 hyperlinks, the existence of conventional search appears to play a key function.

Of the quotes included within the AI Overview, 86% come from pages someplace in Google’s prime 100. It is a prime 10 or positions 11-100.

The three URLs cited within the AI abstract response present the median rating of three in SERP.

The first (prime cited) URL tends to position greater shavings, and will get the median rankings for place 2 in conventional searches.

A box plot showing organic search rankings cited at the top of the AI overview. The median organic ranking is 2, with an interquartile range between positions 1 and 4, and outliers extend to position 8. This highlights that the highest cited URLs are generally highly ranked in organic search results.A box plot showing organic search rankings cited at the top of the AI overview. The median organic ranking is 2, with an interquartile range between positions 1 and 4, and outliers extend to position 8. This highlights that the highest cited URLs are generally highly ranked in organic search results.

Subsequent AI abstract quotes (i.e. hyperlinks #2 and #3) are additionally usually ranked within the prime 10 search outcomes.

A box plot comparing organic rankings for the top three URLs quoted in AI overview. The spread increases with lower citation ranks, indicating a higher variability in the second and third citation URLs, indicating a typical low ranking.A box plot comparing organic rankings for the top three URLs quoted in AI overview. The spread increases with lower citation ranks, indicating a higher variability in the second and third citation URLs, indicating a typical low ranking.

The second AIO quotation is normally ranked 4th in conventional searches, whereas the third quotation is ranked fifth primarily based on the median imply.

AI overview Quote location Conventional search (median) location
1 2
2 4
3 5

Here is how that knowledge seems to be visualized as a distribution graph…

A line graph showing the percentage of organic rankings for URLs cited at the first three AI overview (AIO) locations. The AIO Position 1 URL is expanded to the center of the URL at organic position 1–2 (median: 2), organic position 4 (median: 4), and AIO Position 3, located in the center of the AIO Position 2 URL. The chart visualizes how citation placement in an AI overview correlates with actual search rankings.A line graph showing the percentage of organic rankings for URLs cited at the first three AI overview (AIO) locations. The AIO Position 1 URL is expanded to the center of the URL at organic position 1–2 (median: 2), organic position 4 (median: 4), and AIO Position 3, located in the center of the AIO Position 2 URL. The chart visualizes how citation placement in an AI overview correlates with actual search rankings.

Roughly 10% of AI Abstract Citations are ranked under web page 1 in SERP.

This made us marvel: When quoting content material in AI, what causes Google to seem in previous web page 1?

Fanout Question Idea

AI is claimed to pick sources by producing a “fanout question” choice. It is a longer, extra detailed query about subtopics associated to person prompts.

Screenshot of chatgpt web search interface Screenshot of chatgpt web search interface

Tom Niezgoda LinkedIn Post Surfer Question Fan Out Chrome Bookmarklet – Shows the Key phrase Surfer extension. This reveals the fanout queries that ChatGPT generates when processing responses to prompts.

The speculation has develop into widespread that some low rating pages are cited as a result of it’s higher to reply AI artificial fanout queries properly. We tried to check it.

What we discovered:

If low rating content material is cited throughout the question fanout course of, we anticipate to return to extra element (learn: lengthy) Queries, and for a lot of synonyms (learn: extra) Key phrases – given the lengthy tail nature of fan-out questions.

As a substitute, I came upon that the pages quoted above the highest 10 really had few Key phrases, and returned brief Question.

common Prime 10 Ranks Positions 11-100
#Key phrase # 1020 887
Key phrase size 5.4 5.2
Size of “Prime Key phrases” 8.5 7.7

This doesn’t match properly with the anticipated profile of fanout question content material.

Content material is cited in AI for more and more complicated causes, from freshness to consistency with particular person preferences, to even consistency with previous prompts.

Roughly 10% of outcomes from “Rating Past Prime 10” may characterize the fruits of all these components.

I am going to summarize

14% of the content material cited by AI aren’t ranked within the prime 100, however this appears to be an exception moderately than a rule.

The visibility of AI overview and search visibility are intently linked.

In different phrases, if it seems in a search, it’s extra probably that it’s going to even be cited in Google’s AI outcomes.

Monitor each conventional rankings and AI quotation efficiency to get a full picture of search visibility.

This may be accomplished with AHREFS. I am heading to Try Web site Explorer’s Natural Key phrase Report, AHREFS Branded Radar to judge your rankings and see all AI Abstract Hyperlinks.

Screenshot of "Brand Radar" Dashboard showing AI Summary Citation Data for Keyword-Related Domains "ahrefs." The chart shows the citation trends over time (August 2024 to July 2025) for five domains: Reddit.com, backlinko.com, Zapier.com, Ahrefs.com, and Semrush.com. The table below the chart ranks these domains by total citation, competitive percentage, market percentage, and impressions. As of July 16, 2025, Reddit.com led with 750 quotes and 212,972 impressions, followed by backlinko.com, Zapier.com, Ahrefs.com and Semrush.com. The dashboard is filtered for AI overview and "Quote" In absolute value.Screenshot of "Brand Radar" Dashboard showing AI Summary Citation Data for Keyword-Related Domains "ahrefs." The chart shows the citation trends over time (August 2024 to July 2025) for five domains: Reddit.com, backlinko.com, Zapier.com, Ahrefs.com, and Semrush.com. The table below the chart ranks these domains by total citation, competitive percentage, market percentage, and impressions. As of July 16, 2025, Reddit.com led with 750 quotes and 212,972 impressions, followed by backlinko.com, Zapier.com, Ahrefs.com and Semrush.com. The dashboard is filtered for AI overview and "Quote" In absolute value.

For now, AI overview citations have been pushed by the success of conventional searches, and the fundamentals of search engine marketing appear to be extra vital than ever.

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